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By Stephen Van Evera

What motives warfare? How can army conflicts top be avoided? during this publication, Stephen Van Evera frames 5 stipulations that elevate the chance of interstate conflict: fake optimism concerning the most probably final result of a conflict, a first-strike virtue, fluctuation within the relative energy of states, conditions that let international locations to parlay one conquest into one other, and conditions that make conquest easy.

According to Van Evera, all yet the sort of conditions-false optimism-rarely ensue this present day, yet policymakers usually erroneously think of their lifestyles. He argues that those misperceptions are chargeable for many glossy wars, and explores either international Wars, the Korean warfare, and the 1967 Mideast struggle as try out circumstances. ultimately, he assesses the opportunity of nuclear battle through making use of all 5 hypotheses to its strength onset. Van Evera's publication demonstrates that principles from the Realist paradigm can provide robust reasons for overseas clash and important prescriptions for its control.

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Causes of War: Power and the Roots of Conflict (Cornell Studies in Security Affairs) by Stephen Van Evera

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